Wobbly Universe
Post details: Real Estate Prices in USA over the Last Century
18/04/07
Real Estate Prices in USA over the Last Century
I just came across a graph of real estate prices in the USA for the last 116 years after removing inflation. People often say that house prices go up faster than inflation, but for the 50 years from 1947 to 1997 house price increase exactly matched inflation on the average, with swings of some 10% either side. However there have been a few occasions when something much more spectacular happened, and the period 1997 to 2006 saw an 82% climb in 9 years!
This graph is interesting because it also clearly shows a fairly regular swing above and below the trend line. Here is my modified graph showing the trend and peaks and troughs. Because of the limited width of graphs in my blog you will get a clearer picture if you save and display the file separately.
The green pluses and the red minuses show the dates of the of peaks and troughs. They are fairly regular, averaging 11.2 years for the peaks and 10.6 years for the troughs for an over all average of 10.9 years. That period is rather close to Sunspot cycle period of 11.1 years average, so we might consider it possible that there is a link.
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Wobbly Universe
Blog of Ray Tomes research on cycles, news reports on cycles, my original research on the Harmonics Theory and discussion of these matters.
There are cycles in everything. There are cycles in the weather, the economy, the sun, wars, geological formations, atomic vibrations, climate, human moods, the motions of the planets, populations of animals, the occurrence of diseases, the prices of commodities and shares and the large scale structure of the universe. None of these are independent of each other.
Research shows that very different disciplines often find the same cycle periods in their data. The inter-relatedness of all things is an idea who's time has come. The study of cycles is an excellent way to understand this because the periods of cycles are as easy to recognise as fingerprints or DNA sequences.
"The universe, believe it or not, is nothing other than a giant musical instrument with a very special but predictable pattern of harmonically related oscillations which determine the structure of everything from galactic clusters to subatomic particles and we are just parts of the various vibration modes."
The single axiom of the Harmonics Theory is that:
The Universe consists of a standing wave which develops harmonically related standing waves and each of these does the same.
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